Height: 6’6” Weight: 192 Wingspan: 6’3” Age: 19 College: Kentucky Hometown: Greenfield, WI
Tyler Herro is known for being an elite shooter, but there is more to his game than that. I actually don’t think he is the shooter everyone says he is, but the rest of his game is better than what it’s known for. He can help a team with floor spacing, court vision, and competitiveness. He can hurt a team with staying in front of the ball, and lacking the length to contest. He plays with a lot of swag and is known to have an elite work ethic, this should serve him very well throughout his career. His role will likely be a shooter that stretches the floor, and is known as a smart player. He’s a solid decision maker, and had a 1.5 A/to Ratio last year which isn’t great but definitely solid. He only had 17.2 points per 40 minutes last year, but this was because his teams offense was based on going inside.
Herro is a good shooter, but I don’t believe he is elite yet. I think he’ll become better than he shot this year because his form is very fluid, so he just needs repetition which I’m sure he’ll get because he’s known to be a gym rat. He also has a quick release. This year he was in the 63rd percentile on jump shots. This was on high volume, but he wasn’t taking crazy tough shots. He was only in the 47th percentile on catch and shoots, which is a little concerning because that will likely be his primary role in the NBA. He’ll spend most of his time spotting up and overall he was in the 70th percentile spotting up. In spot up situations he only takes a no dribble jumper 46% of the time and his efficiency on these was 1.173PPP. His total spot up efficiency was 1.011PPP, which is obviously less than his no dribble jumper efficiency. He should rely on his spot up jumper more, and will likely become more efficient as a spot up player if he does that. He is a very good shooter off the dribble and was in the 82nd percentile this year in that category. He’s a rare case where his off the dribble shooting had actually the exact same efficiency as his off the catch shooting. He should spend more time working on his shooting off the catch, because that will be an easier role to play in the NBA. Herro was in the 43rd percentile off of ball screens last year, which needs to be improved if he wants to play the role of a shooter in the NBA. Part of this was because his team didn’t run many plays where he came off screens for threes, but he definitely could still improve his shooting in this area. He does set his man up well when cutting off screens, and changes speeds well on his cuts, this will continue to help him get open looks in the NBA. A huge bright spot for Herros shooting was the free throw line. He was an incredible 94%, and this shows me he doesn’t overthink and has a lot of confidence in his shot. Even though he didn’t shoot great last year, his confidence could help take him to that level where he can be a reliable and consistent shot maker for someone.
Herro needs to work on his finishing when he gets all the way to the rim. He was in the 26th percentile on finishes last year. He uses both hands but his lack of length/strength hurts him. He needs to become a more creative and crafty finisher for his lack of size and strength. All small guys need to be creative around the rim in the NBA. Although he isn’t a good finisher yet he has a great runner. He was in the 90th percentile on runners last year and that will be important when playing versus NBA length. One underrated part about Herros game is in transition. He was in the 87th percentile last year in transition. He was great as either the ball handler or the wing. He looked very confident pushing the ball in transition, and made great decisions as the ball handler. On the wing he had no hesitation shooting transition threes, and also looked very confident. He should continue being an efficient transition player in the NBA. Herro is also a very underrated Pick and Roll player. He was in the 96th percentile in Pick and Rolls including passes. It was low volume, but he also wasn’t working with a lot of floor spacing in Kentucky’s offense which makes everything harder. He has very good and underrated vision, and at 6’6” he can see over the top and throw great skip passes to shooters. He also does a good job of getting the defender on his back, and makes really good decisions from there, whether it’s hitting the roll man, hitting a shooter, or scoring himself. One area he could improve in the Pick and Roll is always getting shoulder to shoulder.
Herro defended solid at Kentucky last year, but I think defense could be a struggle for him in the NBA. His lack of length, strength, and lateral quickness will be tough for him to overcome. I’m not sure what position he’ll guard because he’s not quick enough to stay in front of many point guards, and doesn’t have good length to contest 2’s or 3’s. He also isn’t very strong yet, so many 2’s could take him down in the post. He has a chance to be able to become a somewhat capable defender because he does have a great IQ, and plays very hard, but he is going to need to find a way to get quicker laterally, while gaining strength. Because of his work ethic he could find a way.
Herro has an average ceiling, but a pretty low floor. He is not an elite shooter yet, so if he doesn’t improve his lateral quickness it will be tough to play him because the value he brings offensively isn’t worth what you lose defensively staying in front of the ball. Because his great work ethic it is likely he becomes either an elite shooter, or improves his lateral quickness and becomes a serviceable defender. If that’s the case he will be a solid role player off the bench that plays 12-15 minutes, that is known for coming in and scoring. If he improves both these things, while improving his strength also he could develop into a starter.